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Extraordinary election by mail: giant falls, greens grow, but polls remain fair News from Australia

Good morning, this is Naaman Zhou, who will bring you the final election of the morning mail for a voting day – Saturday, May 18th.

The week she was

A giant fell on Thursday night and slammed a hole through this election. At 7.30 am that night, ABC had both leaders in their latest interviews. They did not say anything. Until 7.45 they spoke of someone who did it. Bob Hawk left, and the tax was flowing and running.

Saturday feels shady. People try to silence the noise. The nerves of political drug addicts buzzle, but how many of these have penetrated specifically to create this sense of climbing? In many ways it may be too late. 25% of the country has already voted.

It was a week when it did not change much. Not the polls, not the leaders, not the policies. On Mother's Day Scott Morrison launched the official proposal to re-elect the party and apologized to his own wife and children for it as if they had enough. He announced the new buyer's first home loan and was combined with work within minutes.

The elections were narrow – but they were the same as last week. It was a return to the future. Shorten went to Blacktown, in Bowman Hall, where Gough Whitlam started his campaign in 1972. Morrison did the same, on the other side, telling the room at the National Press Club "It's not the time now." And nothing seemed to happen-except the steady flow of those who wanted to seal their voices. Tonight we'll know what they think.

The big problem

"Unknown Unknown," in the words of Peter Lewis. Here's what we know. A quarter of the country has already voted. Labor has defeated the Coalition in every poll since the last election and, in addition to several months after the 2016 elections, most of the polls earlier. We know that much of the country has "zero or very light engagement" with this campaign.

And that's where the unknown begin. Palmer's and the United Australia Party ads. How will the preferences for a nation and UAP be divided? Which sociological studies are targeted and not. Which places will win a swing and which will fall.

Good week for …

Greens. Two sociological studies in Victoria showed them with a shot of the crown of Croydon Crown, the cashier Josh Freidenberg, and near Higgins, a long-term goal made much easier than the retirement of Liberal Kellie Dwyer.

Even with the usual margin of error, it was good news, adding to the hopes of adding Adam Adam's only lower chamber to either the election or the next. The green voices are stacked in scattered places – McNamara, Wils and Cooper. And Kooyong and Higgins, of course, are three-horse racing, with tough odds to defeat the Greens in second place.

Bad week for …

Tony Abbott. Hawk's former Prime Minister's "Dan" was not well received. The former liberal prime minister said Hawk was "against the labors," and "had a liberal head," which made the television operator Wendy Harmer say Abbott had "peas where your heart should be." Susan Ryan, the Hawk's wife's minister of women, said there was no "no liberal for Bob".

On the ground

In Warringah, Tony Abbott is in trouble and malice is increasing. Local residents tell Anne Davis: "Two girls from Quywood have passed yesterday and started to mistreat us for climate change. They were just sneaky. Very rude. "In Dixon, Peter Dutton is beaten by the winds of change. But can he stay there? Ben Smie asks locals who say, "We all know Peter."

Momma's War

At the start of the liberals, the Twitter Morrison account on Twitter send this gemstone: "This is my vision for this country as your prime minister to keep Australia's promise for all Australians."

The nation gives a collective groan. "Australia's promise sounds like a cruise ship," said ABC Tiger Webb, an ABC specialist, "It just sounds like someone who cheats scrabble," he said satirist Pauline Pantzoun,

Dog Weekly Campaign

Eva is the democratic sausage. Again. Please.

Eve The Democratic sausage dog looks at a barbecue in the community at the headquarters of Butby, South Australia.

Eve The Democratic sausage dog looks at a barbecue in the community at the headquarters of Butby, South Australia. Photo: Ryan Pierce / Getty Images

They said it

Will be missed. The golden cup is broken.

– Blanche d'Alpuget

If you have missed it in the Guardian

It happened very much on Friday. Catherine Murphy and Helen Davidson broke the election that Morrison knew in 2016 that he accepted two US runaways accused of murder.

Anne Davis had another exclusive version of the current water saga-that Angus Taylor's company in Oxford was a $ 80 million deal recipient.

Listen to Sarah Martin and Catherine Murphy for Scott Morrison, his ascent on the top and whether he can hold on.

What do polls say?

The same theme, with variations. Mainly: Work will win – 51.5% to 49.5% – the same as last week. Newspoll: Work will win – 51% to 49% – the same as last week. And if you reset, the swing is 4% in Queensland, which can put an end to the race. Sociological studies have also emerged, but as always, your mileage may vary.

But something new from the Australian Institute – Clive Palmer may miss.

It's coming

This is the big day. Polls close at 6am local time across the country today and the results will come soon after.

Here is your complete guide on how to watch, who will be and what places to watch.

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