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Ipsos's studies show that work has gained key importance over the Coalition in key continental countries

Mr. Morrison is organizing a campaign in Queensland to alert voters to increase tax revenue and counter them to his promise of lower personal taxes, saying his government understands and celebrates the aspirations of Australians.

Mr Shorten has pledged to propose a "consensus" government like that of Mr Hawk and promised to take action in the area of ​​climate change with a stable government that could put an end to the chaos of the divided leadership of the liberal party.

Bill Surhton Shorty pays tribute to Bob Hawk at the former premier's favorite pub after changing his campaign plan.

Bill Surhton Shorty pays tribute to Bob Hawk at the former premier's favorite pub after changing his campaign plan.Credit:Alex Ellinghausen

Ipsos's exclusive analysis shows that Victoria's job is 53 to 47 percent in bilateral terms, highlighting Mr Shoort's profits in his home country after the last election.

Ipsos's findings, based on two rounds of telephone surveys this month, confirm that Labor is stronger than the 2016 election when it overtakes the Coalition with 52 to 48 percent in Victoria.

While Labor has an advantage over the NSW Coalition, the profit is small and within the error of this analysis, confirming the expectations of both campaign teams that the race will be locked in key locations.


The workforce is ahead of the Coalition with 51 to 49 per cent in bilateral terms in New York, compared to the election results of about 50:50 three years ago.

The Ipsos study also shows that in Queensland, labor and the coalition are a door and a door where each party has 50% support in bilateral terms.

The outcome highlights the danger to Mr. Morrison in the key locations in Queensland, given that the government has had a strong headline of 54 to 46 percent over labor in the country's last federal election.

The coalition has a significant advantage over Western Australia's work, where it is progressing 53 to 47 percent, but the result implies a deviation from the government, which puts several seats in play.

Voters in Western Australia supported the Coalition with nearly 55% to 45% of the last election.

The results confirm that the Labor Coalition at the national level over the Coalition (51% to 49%) on bipartisan level, but country-by-country findings provide an important guide to the election competition.

Applied uniformly at every location in each country, the results of Ipsos show that Labor can get 82 seats on Saturday night.

The work had 69 seats in the last parliament and has more than ten seats in its sights, including the Victorian voters of Dunkle, the Korangam, Chisholm and La Trob.

He also hopes to win Gilmore and Reed in NSW and the three West Australian locations of Hasluck, Swan and Stirling.

Mr Shorten has not been campaigning in Queensland this week, but Labor has been heading for places like Forde and Flynn, while protecting Herbert.

As a sign of Coalition's concern about its position in Queensland, Mr. Morrison holds a campaign Friday in two locations held by the government, Flynn and Leichhard, after visiting Herbert.

The coalition has set its hopes of detention in each country, while pulling out the Tasmanian locations of Bass and Braddon, as well as winning Lindsey in western Sydney.


The Ipsos analysis is based on responses from 2822 voters in two trials conducted during the three days to May 4 and three days to May 15, except for earlier surveys to measure opinion voters in recent weeks of the election campaign.

The analysis divides preferences in line with the preferential flows of the last election.

When voters were asked to indicate which big party would have their preferences, the result in Queensland was the same, but the result in NSW was in favor of Mr Shorten, 53% for the Labor and 47% for the Coalition.

The result was tighter in Victoria when the stated preferences were applied, and the progress of labor – by only 52 to 48 per cent – the same result in bipartisan conditions as the last elections.

Mr Morrison and Mr Shorten are evenly selected as the preferred prime minister in Southern Australia and the Northern Territory, where both are supported by 43% of voters.

Mr. Morrison is the preferred leader in any other country, with 50% to 39% growth in Western Australia and 47-36% in Queensland.

In Victoria, however, Mr Morrison's leadership is only 44-42%. The NSW is 45 to 41%.

State analysis by country showed a weak voice for work in Western Australia and Queensland, where this core support was 29% and 30%, respectively.


Work estimates that it can claim that the government has no vacancies in secure liberal places like Dixon, Higgins and Menzies.

However, he believes he has a chance to get Peter Dutton out of Dixon, and believes Tony Abbott will be very close to Woriga's loss of independent candidate Sergal Hall.

In the eastern part of Sydney in Wentworth, however, the analysis of labor is that independent Kerin Phelps is at risk of losing to liberal candidate Dave Sharma.

David Crow is the chief political correspondent of Sydney Morning Herald and The Age.

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