Tabloids have always had great freedom with headlines, but part of the current asteroid coating, known as the 2018 LF16, really takes things to the next level. Rock near Earth has been the subject of numerous titles that report on NASA's assessment that there are 62 potential "risky trajectories" that could make it clash with the Earth sometime between 2023 and 2117. However, looking at the hard Data paints a much less disturbing picture.
The asteroid is quite large, with an approximate diameter of over 200 meters, and if it really hit our planet, it would be a bad day for the planet. The good news is that there is hardly any chance of such a thing happening.
The real bait for the asteroids is the 62 potential trajectories that NASA has plotted to place on a course that affects the Earth. I mean, it sounds like a whole bunch when you have nothing to compare, but be comforted, knowing that the chances are definitely not in favor of the asteroids.
NASA models show that the actual Earth scale coefficients are 1 per 30,000,000. This is 30 a millionIn fact, chances are so low that people who track the asteroid threats have given 2018 LF16 a threat of 0/10. The "zero" class is defined as "the probability of a collision is zero or is so low that it is actually zero". Rating of 5/10 is where astronomers consider the site to be "threatening" and "certain clashes" start with scores of 8/10.
Now that we have corrected odds, let's talk about the scale itself. 2018 LF16 is huge compared to most of the space rocks that appear in our forest door, and although it is not necessarily a "planet killer," it will definitely be a danger to everyone in the area. His power would be equivalent to the most destructive nuclear weapons created by mankind.
Again, it's unlikely to happen that it's not even worth worrying about, but knowing what's going on in our Solar System is always interesting.